1999 Academy Award Predictions…

In this era of compulsive exit polling, it shouldn’t be that surprising that the results of the Oscar races turned out to be, well, not that surprising. But the real question is: do American Beauty’s five Oscars mean that Hollywood will remain obsessed with the dark side of family values, which was dredged up and debated ad nauseum during the Clinton/Starr years? Or do The Matrix’s four Oscars signal a determination that we the audience can best be manipulated through never-ending technical illusion?

Note to residents of the UK and Ireland: Does it bother anyone else that you now have to pay a tax to Rupert Murdoch to see a live broadcast of the Academy Awards ceremony?

Category

Most Likely to Win

Most Deserving to Win

Actual Winners I Missed Completely

Best Picture

American Beauty

American Beauty

Best Actor

Denzel Washington (The Hurricane)

Richard Farnsworth (The Straight Story)

Kevin Spacey (American Beauty)

Best Actress

Hilary Swank (Boys Don’t Cry)

Hilary Swank (Boys Don’t Cry)

Best Supporting Actor

Haley Joel Osment (The Sixth Sense)

Haley Joel Osment (The Sixth Sense)

Michael Caine (The Cider House Rules)

Best Supporting Actress

Angelina Jolie (Girl, Interrupted)

Samantha Morton (Sweet and Lowdown)

Best Director

Sam Mendes (American Beauty)

Sam Mendes (American Beauty)

Original Screenplay

Alan Ball (American Beauty)

M. Night Shyamalan (The Sixth Sense)

Adapted Screenplay

Eric Roth & Michael Mann (The Insider)

Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor (Election)

John Irving (The Cider House Rules)

Foreign Film

Under solen (Sweden)

Under solen (Sweden)

All About My Mother (Spain)

Total Scores

5 predictably accurate predictions

3 actual instances of justice in the universe

4 completely off the mark

Color Key to Actual Results:
Winners
Losers, I mean, honored just to be nominated